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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 2-1. The Islanders scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 19:51 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 28, TBL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (27 saves, .964), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1130708128
TBLTBL1406111221

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(5)
    N. Leddy (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:24
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(7)
    B. Goodrow (3)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:25

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(6)
    R. McDonagh (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +47 pts
    1-2
    19:51

Penalties

NYI 13 PIM·TBL 28 PIM

1st

  • 5:55TBLAlex Killorn · Boardingdrawn by Brock Nelson5 min
  • 5:55TBLAlex Killorn · Game misconduct10 min
  • 13:54NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

2nd

  • 1:01NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 3:36NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 3:36TBLLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 6:34TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 11:22NYIMatt Martin · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 11:22TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

3rd

  • 1:30NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 7:48TBLRyan McDonagh · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 9:10TBLCedric Paquette · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 19:51 — TBL 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.28Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.23M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.20P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.17O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.16B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.14T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI58%42%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
21
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
28
53
Hits
44
15
Blocked shots
24
23
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-120.23152—23:15
7J. EberleR000010.15200—20:51
2N. LeddyD011+120.05410—19:58
13M. BarzalC000-130.130104019:48
27A. LeeL000050.554107019:13
25D. ToewsD000-120.04100—18:18
3A. PelechD000000.01412—18:15
4A. GreeneD000-110.03130—18:04
18A. BeauvillierR000-140.41000—17:30
24S. MayfieldD000000.00112—17:02
44J. PageauC000-120.273005316:53
12J. BaileyR000-110.281003316:30
53C. CizikasC000+110.145102912:44
16A. LaddL000-100.15510—11:50
29B. NelsonC000000.003008210:48
17M. MartinL101+110.11707—10:35
15C. ClutterbuckR000+130.22600—10:29
47L. KomarovR000-100.005003310:15
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)21192.9052.39+0.3959:42

Series

TBL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).