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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

Final/2OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 5-4 in double overtime, Ivan Provorov scoring at 15:03. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Islanders led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 15:03 of the second overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 31, NYI 53. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 49 of 53 (.925); Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (49 saves, .925), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart49 saves, .925
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
PHIPHI2518140618531
NYINYI1103180140902453

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:16
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:52
  3. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:33

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:24
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:06
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    13:21
  4. NYI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    19:30

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +32 pts
    4-4
    9:53

2OT overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +52 pts
    5-4
    15:03

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:05PHIDerek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:30PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 1:24PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 3:42NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 4:09NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:50PHIKevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 17:18PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

OT

  • 9:39NYIDerick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 18:00NYIJordan Eberle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:42PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Provorov, 2OT 15:03 — PHI 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.22J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.21J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 4.3 xG · 76 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
2.55 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.05 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 122 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI24%76%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 4.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
53
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
64
Hits
73
31
Blocked shots
29
30
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD112+320.12420—38:15
15M. NiskanenD000+310.07630—37:05
6T. SanheimD011-130.12052—33:48
5P. MyersD000-100.00440—32:14
28C. GirouxR011020.152106231:33
93J. VoracekR011030.25200—30:40
13K. HayesR112+240.464224030:26
21S. LaughtonC101010.209005029:41
61J. BraunD000030.04522—25:26
11T. KonecnyR011+110.26130—25:16
25J. van RiemsdykL101030.35100—22:39
12M. RafflL101+330.1650010020:50
8R. HaggD011010.04620—20:14
44N. ThompsonC000+100.005305618:50
38D. GrantC000-110.021126017:53
23O. LindblomL000000.09210—17:30
18T. PitlickC000010.03320016:58
62N. Aube-KubelR011020.11402—14:32
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)53494.9254.31+0.3194:46

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).