Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 5-4 in double overtime, Ivan Provorov scoring at 15:03. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Islanders led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 15:03 of the second overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 31, NYI 53. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 49 of 53 (.925); Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (49 saves, .925), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Hart49 saves, .925

- ★★I. Provorov1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Barzal1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-010:16
2-011:52
2-116:33
2nd period
2-21:24
2-33:06
3-313:21
3-419:30
3rd period
4-49:53
2OT overtime
5-415:03
Penalties
1st
- 3:05
Derek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 14:30
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
2nd
- 1:24
served by N. Aube-Kubel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 3:42
Adam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
3rd
- 4:09
Casey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 7:50
Kevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
- 17:18
Justin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
OT
- 9:39
Derick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 18:00
Jordan Eberle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:42
Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ivan Provorov, 2OT 15:03 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.55 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.3
- 2.05 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 122 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 4.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 53
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 64
- Hits
- 73
- 31
- Blocked shots
- 29
- 30
- Giveaways
- 16
- 6
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Series
NYI leads 4-3
4@
0Final
3@
4OTFinal
1@
3Final
2@
3Final
3@
4OTFinal
5@
4OTthis game
4@
0Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
