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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSN, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Philippe Myers scoring at 2:41. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philippe Myers's goal at 2:41 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.4, PHI 2.4; shots on goal were NYI 34, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 20 of 21 (.952); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (2 G), 2. Philippe Myers (1 G), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    K. Hayes2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    P. Myers1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0711121501334
PHIPHI311090813431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.40win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:57
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:43
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:09

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    11:45

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:11
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    17:51

Overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    2:41

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:24NYIAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

  • 2:57NYIRoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
  • 11:28PHIJakub Voracek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:24PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 17:51PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Philippe Myers, OT 2:41 — PHI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.40J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.16J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.12J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.11M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.06D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.05M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
2.43 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI50%50%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
34
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
39
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011-210.191005722:22
25D. ToewsD000-120.10130—22:19
2N. LeddyD011030.09100—22:04
3A. PelechD011000.01210—21:45
6R. PulockD000-110.04210—20:51
7J. EberleR000-230.20320—20:48
12J. BaileyR011010.04200—18:52
18A. BeauvillierR101060.48300—18:34
24S. MayfieldD000-200.00030—18:29
29B. NelsonC000020.144005018:27
27A. LeeL101-280.470105018:06
4A. GreeneD000000.03222—17:26
44J. PageauC101+130.321006916:44
53C. CizikasC000020.102004512:26
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.10200—11:51
47L. KomarovR000010.10400—09:47
17M. MartinL000-100.00500—09:17
32R. JohnstonL000000.00402—09:17
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)21201.9521.27+0.2747:32
40S. Varlamov1073.7001.12-1.8815:09

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).