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New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 2:54 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 29, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 3. Andy Greene (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Greene1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1150737429
PHIPHI04015010029

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    2:54
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    8:50
  3. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.44win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    12:21

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:24PHIDerek Grant · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 14:39NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min
  • 16:09PHIMatt Niskanen · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 16:09NYIBrock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYI goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 3rd 2:54 — NYI 73% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.32C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.23J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.21K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.10D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI0 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPHI
3.13 G
All situations
0 G2.2
2.53 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI59%41%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
29
22
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD011+200.00020—21:42
6R. PulockD000+210.06030—21:38
24S. MayfieldD000+120.14110—19:49
4A. GreeneD101+120.05240—18:37
25D. ToewsD101+110.44110—18:36
2N. LeddyD000+110.02110—18:13
29B. NelsonC011+220.350126717:43
18A. BeauvillierR000+250.20110—17:16
7J. EberleR011+140.11020—17:12
13M. BarzalC011+100.021022016:46
27A. LeeL101+130.37200—16:20
12J. BaileyR000+220.3500010015:39
44J. PageauC101+120.463204615:14
53C. CizikasC000000.013105013:32
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.06210—13:29
47L. KomarovR011+110.01210—13:15
17M. MartinL000020.46500—11:47
32R. JohnstonL000+100.001010—11:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)292901.0002.23+2.2359:56

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).