New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 2:54 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 73% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 29, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 3. Andy Greene (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Varlamov29 saves, 1.000

- ★★J. Pageau1 G

- ★★★A. Greene1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goalsPenalties
1st
- 19:24
Derek Grant · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
3rd
- 14:39
Mathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min
- 16:09
Matt Niskanen · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
- 16:09
Brock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 3rd 2:54 — 73% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.13 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.2
- 2.53 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.1
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 34
- Hits
- 29
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 11
- Giveaways
- 15
- 8
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
NYI leads 4-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
