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Flyers at Islanders
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV NBC, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 7:18 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 38, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Thomas Greiss stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G), 2. Josh Bailey (2 A), 3. Thomas Greiss (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss36 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI07117114238
NYINYI01813212333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(4)
    J. Bailey (10)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:52
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(2)
    J. Braun (2), R. Hagg (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:19

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(7)
    S. Mayfield (3), D. Toews (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    7:18
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(5)
    J. Bailey (11), A. Beauvillier (4)
    deflectedxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    11:12
  3. PHI
    I. Provorov(2)
    K. Hayes (7), T. Sanheim (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    18:55

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:22NYICasey Cizikas · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 4:22PHITravis Konecny · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 7:41NYICal Clutterbuck · Interferencedrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 14:40PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 3rd 7:18 — NYI 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.27B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.24A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.15J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI40%60%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
38
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
35
7
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101-110.11500—23:55
6T. SanheimD011020.02120—22:59
15M. NiskanenD000-210.02100—20:27
5P. MyersD000-120.05500—20:21
28C. GirouxR000+150.331005418:50
93J. VoracekR000+230.27100—18:23
14S. CouturierC101+130.241005018:09
25J. van RiemsdykL000-220.19200—17:00
11T. KonecnyR000020.28224—16:43
61J. BraunD011+110.01410—16:13
13K. HayesR011030.111005515:28
8R. HaggD011+140.12310—15:22
21S. LaughtonC000-220.104101315:02
18T. PitlickC000-100.05100014:16
49J. FarabeeL000-150.41000—13:45
44N. ThompsonC000000.002005610:50
62N. Aube-KubelR000000.00500—10:29
38D. GrantC000020.24000010:11
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)33303.9093.12+0.1257:37

Series

NYI leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).