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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV NBCSN (JIP), NHLN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 7-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Samuel Girard's goal at 8:29 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 24, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 2.9 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 3. Mikko Rantanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0601216124
COLCOL31231816736

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(5)PPG
    G. Landeskog (7), N. MacKinnon (8)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:39
  2. COL
    S. Girard(1)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (4), J. Compher (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    8:29
  3. COL
    N. Kadri(6)
    A. Burakovsky (5), J. Donskoi (3)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:32

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(3)
    M. Rantanen (6)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    9:51
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (7), C. Makar (5)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    10:49
  3. COL
    N. Zadorov(1)
    N. MacKinnon (9), G. Landeskog (8)
    tip-inxG 0.08
    0-6
    18:16

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(4)
    J. Demers (4), D. Stepan (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    1-6
    6:51
  2. COL
    J. Compher(3)
    M. Nieto (1)
    snapxG 0.29
    1-7
    15:19

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:32ARIJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:37ARIMichael Grabner · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 14:11ARIserved by C. Fischer · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 10:15ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 3:01COLTyson Jost · Holdingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 12:28COLAndre Burakovsky · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Samuel Girard, 1st 8:29 — COL 68% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.30J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.29N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.25J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.22N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.19N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.04M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 3.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
1.81 G
All situations
7 G3.7
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI20%80%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
19
18
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000030.06210—23:04
21D. StepanC011010.052205020:51
4N. HjalmarssonD000-200.00210—19:28
33A. GoligoskiD000-210.04140—19:28
82J. OesterleD000-110.03110—19:11
55J. DemersD011010.02200—18:30
6J. ChychrunD000-110.09124—18:13
9C. KellerR101030.49100—17:40
91T. HallL000-310.06100—17:29
67L. CrouseL000+120.08610—15:29
81P. KesselR000-100.00000—15:11
29B. HaytonC000-100.0011010014:54
34C. SoderbergC000-230.253005014:43
18C. DvorakC000-120.281005013:39
13V. HinostrozaC000-220.1510010013:33
15B. RichardsonR000010.034104013:02
36C. FischerR000000.00210—10:04
40M. GrabnerL000020.19002—10:03
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)30246.8003.08-2.9240:00
32A. Raanta651.8330.60-0.4020:00

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).