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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-A (JIP)·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 13:05 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 57% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were ARI 14, COL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (37 saves, .925), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper37 saves, .925
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI030407014
COLCOL013015312340

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(2)PPG
    C. Makar (1), N. MacKinnon (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +29 pts
    0-1
    13:05
  2. COL
    J. Compher(2)
    J. Donskoi (2), E. Johnson (1)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    13:15
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(1)
    N. MacKinnon (4), G. Landeskog (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    14:28

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:06ARIJason Demers · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

2nd

  • 16:22COLIan Cole · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 8:08COLAndre Burakovsky · Holdingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min
  • 12:21ARIDerek Stepan · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 19:57COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min
  • 19:57ARIBrad Richardson · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 13:05 — COL 57% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.32J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.22V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.15N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.11P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
1.10 G
All situations
3 G2.6
0.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.14 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
14
Shots on goal
40
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
22
22
Blocked shots
21
18
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000-100.13030—22:04
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.01230—21:00
6J. ChychrunD000-200.06040—19:13
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.03420—19:10
21D. StepanC000-100.120324718:54
82J. OesterleD000-110.01020—18:18
81P. KesselR000020.11000—18:04
55J. DemersD000010.04222—17:45
9C. KellerR000-110.03010—17:28
91T. HallL000-110.0220010016:56
67L. CrouseL000000.00300—16:54
34C. SoderbergC000010.220003615:23
18C. DvorakC000000.002005514:01
15B. RichardsonR000-120.172125513:26
40M. GrabnerL000-100.0021010012:53
83C. GarlandR000020.04000—12:41
13V. HinostrozaC000-100.030005011:57
36C. FischerR000020.12200—11:06
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)40373.9252.58-0.4260:00

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).