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Avalanche at Coyotes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Utah Mammoth
▸4
FinalTV CNBC, FS-A·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Richardson's goal at 19:26 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — COL 3.7, ARI 3.9; shots on goal were COL 51, ARI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Darcy Kuemper stopped 49 of 51 (.961), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (49 saves, .961), 2. Conor Garland (1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper49 saves, .961
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Garland1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL020116115251
ARIARI1121526423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    D. Stepan(1)
    C. Keller (3), T. Hall (4)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:29

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(3)
    S. Girard (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    13:12
  2. ARI
    B. Richardson(2)
    C. Garland (1), J. Demers (2)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:26

3rd period

  1. ARI
    T. Hall(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:40
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    C. Makar (3), N. MacKinnon (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    19:03
  3. ARI
    L. Crouse(2)EN
    C. Soderberg (1), J. Demers (3)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:55

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:00COLTyson Jost · High stickingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 8:39ARICarl Soderberg · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Pavel Francouz2 min
  • 15:24COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

2nd

  • 3:33COLNathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 9:03ARIAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:12ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Richardson, 2nd 19:26 — ARI 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.92T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.49C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.33D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.22P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.20P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.19B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.13C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 3.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
3.72 G
All situations
2 G3.9
2.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL75%25%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
51
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
33
8
Blocked shots
27
17
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-170.29100—25:42
29N. MacKinnonC011-270.370046023:33
96M. RantanenR101-140.81210—22:50
92G. LandeskogL000-230.298006421:58
27R. GravesD000-150.21010—20:20
49S. GirardD011020.09000—19:22
6E. JohnsonD000-110.00230—17:44
91N. KadriC000-230.270006317:07
28I. ColeD000030.06110—16:11
37J. CompherL000030.112204416:10
11M. CalvertL000020.20200—13:12
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00300—12:38
83M. NietoL000030.15000—11:57
41P. BellemareL000030.191005011:48
17T. JostC000040.45302011:40
72J. DonskoiR000000.20100—11:38
13V. NichushkinR000000.00200—11:26
95A. BurakovskyL101010.06000—11:03
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)21192.9052.14+0.1457:45

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).