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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, FS-A·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 17:07 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were ARI 32, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (30 saves, .938), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 3. Andre Burakovsky (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer30 saves, .938
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1811608232
COLCOL1101919328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(2)
    G. Landeskog (4)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:40
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:49

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(1)
    C. Makar (2), J. Compher (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:37
  2. ARI
    M. Grabner(3)
    B. Richardson (1), J. Oesterle (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:06

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(2)
    N. Kadri (4), M. Calvert (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    17:07

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:07ARIJason Demers · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 18:17COLNikita Zadorov · Elbowingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 6:56ARIVinnie Hinostroza · High stickingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 10:35COLMatt Calvert · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 12:19COLJ.T. Compher · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 13:26ARIJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 19:24COLMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Jason Demers2 min

3rd

  • 0:48ARITaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 3rd 17:07 — COL 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.66A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-140.14400—23:19
91T. HallL000030.09212—22:35
33A. GoligoskiD000010.05010—21:21
6J. ChychrunD000030.11212—19:48
18C. DvorakC000010.100105018:58
81P. KesselR000-150.59210—18:32
4N. HjalmarssonD000-100.00020—18:26
21D. StepanC000-100.020205018:18
9C. KellerR101040.42020—18:02
82J. OesterleD011+120.03000—17:08
55J. DemersD000-110.01212—16:29
83C. GarlandR000-140.22100—15:01
34C. SoderbergC000010.014005014:51
67L. CrouseL000000.00400—11:17
15B. RichardsonR011010.380202510:48
40M. GrabnerL101010.21000—09:53
36C. FischerR000010.05310—09:39
13V. HinostrozaC000000.000025009:28
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)28253.8932.05-0.9558:07

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).