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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸3
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV NBCSN, MSG+·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 3:40 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Carlson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0921515329
NYINYI2130706226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(4)
    S. Mayfield (2), C. Cizikas (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:50
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(3)
    N. Leddy (1), A. Greene (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:16

2nd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(3)
    J. Carlson (5), B. Holtby (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    3:35
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(3)PPG
    J. Carlson (6), E. Kuznetsov (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    5:29

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(4)
    D. Orlov (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    3:40

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:58WSHBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 16:07NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:07WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 16:07WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 16:52NYIDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 19:57WSHAlex Ovechkin · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 1:29NYIMathew Barzal · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 2:04NYIScott Mayfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:09WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 3:46NYIMathew Barzal · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 10:06WSHTom Wilson · Boardingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 16:42NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 6:58WSHBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 3rd 3:40 — WSH 47% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
3.53 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH68%32%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
35
Hits
40
14
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022010.08000—24:26
4B. DillonD000020.12314—23:49
92E. KuznetsovC112+140.422002622:42
9D. OrlovD011+230.04310—21:22
8A. OvechkinL202+240.72322—18:31
20L. EllerC000030.642005818:26
43T. WilsonR000010.28302—18:08
3N. JensenD000020.05410—18:03
77T. OshieR000020.321124317:46
62C. HagelinL000-200.00110—16:01
26N. DowdC000-100.004206014:45
13J. VranaL000-130.29000—14:34
33R. GudasD000-100.05100—14:25
34J. SiegenthalerD000-200.00320—13:40
17I. KovalchukL000+110.11120—10:02
21G. HathawayR000010.13414—09:07
14R. PanikR000020.29000—08:54
64B. PinhoC000000.00000003:22
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)26242.9232.04+0.0459:57

Series

NYI leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).