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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
New York Islanders
▸2
Final/OTTV USA, MSG+·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 2-1 in overtime, Mathew Barzal scoring at 4:28. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 4:28 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 23, NYI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G), 2. Ryan Pulock (1 A), 3. John Carlson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH061100403123
NYINYI1140100812234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(3)
    A. Pelech (2), R. Pulock (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:50

2nd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(2)PPG
    J. Carlson (4), A. Ovechkin (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:50

Overtime

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(2)
    J. Eberle (2), D. Brassard (3)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +48 pts
    1-2
    4:28

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:57WSHDmitry Orlov · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 10:38WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 14:58WSHBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

2nd

  • 5:10NYIJordan Eberle · Slashingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 11:10WSHRadko Gudas · Hookingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

3rd

  • 2:34NYIMatt Martin · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 6:25WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, OT 4:28 — NYI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.24A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
1.61 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH32%68%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-210.07120—27:49
4B. DillonD000-100.01412—26:25
9D. OrlovD000-110.01212—22:55
92E. KuznetsovC101-120.090104222:49
3N. JensenD000030.07330—22:09
8A. OvechkinL011010.28710—21:41
43T. WilsonR000-130.48602—20:38
20L. EllerC000030.170106018:34
77T. OshieR000-100.001325017:34
33R. GudasD000010.06012—15:43
26N. DowdC000010.001104515:24
13J. VranaL000040.29120—15:18
62C. HagelinL000-120.05000—14:41
17I. KovalchukL000000.01400—12:44
42M. FehérváryD000000.00100—11:31
14R. PanikR000-110.06000—09:18
21G. HathawayR000000.00410—08:56
64B. PinhoC000-100.001103308:11
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)34322.9412.57+0.5764:28

Series

NYI leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).