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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
Anaheim Ducks
5
Final/OTTV NBCSN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-5 in overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 3:50. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 3:50 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 28, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (3 G), 2. Adam Henrique (2 G, 2 A), 3. Nick Ritchie (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    N. Ritchie2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK1102112611628
ANAANA1711131002530

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Brown(1)
    G. Quinney (1), R. Reaves (6)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:49
  2. ANA
    D. Shore(4)
    B. Guhle (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:58

2nd period

  1. ANA
    N. Ritchie(7)
    A. Henrique (13)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:03
  2. VGK
    A. Martinez(3)
    M. Stone (39), M. Pacioretty (31)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:51
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(11)
    M. Stone (40), M. Pacioretty (32)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    19:03

3rd period

  1. ANA
    N. Ritchie(8)
    T. Terry (11), A. Henrique (14)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    0:21
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(12)
    C. Stephenson (13), A. Martinez (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    4-3
    6:28
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(13)
    M. Stone (41), R. Smith (25)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    11:05
  4. ANA
    A. Henrique(22)
    N. Ritchie (10), R. Rakell (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    5-4
    17:03
  5. ANA
    A. Henrique(23)
    M. Del Zotto (10), N. Ritchie (11)
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +44 pts
    5-5
    18:45

Overtime

  1. VGK
    S. Theodore(9)
    M. Stone (42)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 pts
    6-5
    3:50

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

3rd

  • 4:24ANAMax Jones · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 8:47VGKMark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 19:13VGKAlec Martinez · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, OT 3:50 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.22M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.16R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA5 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.46 G
All situations
5 G2.5
3.16 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK63%37%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
28
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. HoldenD000-100.05120—23:25
27S. TheodoreD101-150.33010—23:25
88N. SchmidtD000+100.00030—22:25
3B. McNabbD000020.08320—21:09
19R. SmithR011+100.10000—19:50
26P. StastnyC000-110.431203919:38
71W. KarlssonC303+330.361005019:35
61M. StoneR044+310.14102—18:44
23A. MartinezD112+210.15142—18:28
81J. MarchessaultR000-120.12000—18:00
67M. PaciorettyL022+120.30100—17:44
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.00110—15:23
20C. StephensonC011030.110001714:32
92T. NosekL000-210.150107114:11
28W. CarrierL000-210.28400—12:15
75R. ReavesR011030.20210—11:40
38P. BrownC101020.32600010:04
72G. QuinneyC011010.281006708:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)30255.8332.50-2.5063:47

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).