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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, PRIME·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Ducks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 15:29 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 15, VGK 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. John Gibson stopped 44 of 49 (.898); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 13 of 15 (.867). Three stars: 1. Nicolas Roy (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A), 3. Paul Stastny (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    N. Roy1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    P. Stastny1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA150614215
VGKVGK317116116549

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(5)
    M. Comtois (2), N. Ritchie (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:12
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:46
  3. VGK
    R. Reaves(2)
    W. Carrier (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:40
  4. VGK
    N. Roy(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:29

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(3)PPG
    R. Smith (3), J. Marchessault (5)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    9:27

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Stastny(5)PPG
    M. Pacioretty (9), M. Stone (9)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    4:13
  2. ANA
    A. Henrique(7)
    T. Terry (1)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    6:48

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:53ANABrendan Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:31ANAJakob Silfverberg · Trippingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min

3rd

  • 3:48ANARyan Getzlaf · Interferencedrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 4:27ANASam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 14:27VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 1st 15:29 — VGK 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.27N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.17T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.17J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.15R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.14R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.14B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.14P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.06S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.04N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 4.6 xG · 77 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
1.62 G
All situations
5 G4.6
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G3.9
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA11%89%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 4.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
15
Shots on goal
49
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. Del ZottoD000-100.07200—21:23
46E. GudbransonD000000.00330—20:21
4C. FowlerD000010.02110—20:15
2B. GuhleD000010.01022—20:08
15R. GetzlafC101+120.154124318:25
5K. HolzerD000-100.00520—18:13
32J. LarssonD000000.00210—17:43
34S. SteelC000-100.011125817:15
49M. JonesL000030.24000—16:40
61T. TerryR011+120.08000—16:32
53M. ComtoisL011+100.05110—15:48
67R. RakellR000-100.05110—15:36
14A. HenriqueC101+110.201105315:19
37N. RitchieL011+120.66110—15:04
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.06002—14:58
24C. RowneyC000-200.006105011:36
38D. GrantC000-210.020105010:21
29D. ShoreC000-110.02110009:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)49445.8984.56-0.4459:29

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).