Skip to content
Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Golden Knights scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 4:55 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 29, ANA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 G, 1 A), 2. Devin Shore (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    D. Shore1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0819212329
ANAANA043915418

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    4:55
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    9:00
  3. ANA
    C. Fowler(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:23
  4. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:37

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:46
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    18:08
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.11
    3-4
    19:54

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

2nd

  • 7:01VGKNate Schmidt · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 8:16VGKTomas Nosek · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Getzlaf4 min
  • 11:32VGKTomas Nosek · Elbowingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 11:32ANASam Steel · Hookingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 16:13VGKMark Stone · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 16:13ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 19:17ANAKorbinian Holzer · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

3rd

  • 3:23ANAJosh Manson · Kneeingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 2nd 4:55 — VGK 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.17A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.17A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.16R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.15A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.14M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · Goal · xG 0.10S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.10S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.10E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.09H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.08R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.2 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
2.63 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
29
Shots on goal
18
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-140.22010—23:30
88N. SchmidtD202+220.16022—22:42
3B. McNabbD000+120.22430—21:26
61M. StoneR022+210.08002—20:12
67M. PaciorettyL011+230.2120010019:59
71W. KarlssonC011+230.300003019:09
14N. HagueD000-110.07310—17:42
20C. StephensonC000+110.111002917:33
19R. SmithR011+220.26000—17:26
81J. MarchessaultR101+230.2410010017:09
22N. HoldenD000010.03220—16:08
5D. EngellandD000000.02110—14:39
89A. TuchR000-100.03300—13:36
26P. StastnyC000-110.060004013:01
9C. GlassC000-100.10000012:09
92T. NosekL000-110.2520610009:43
75R. ReavesR000-130.20300—09:19
28W. CarrierL000-110.0130010007:52
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)18144.7782.03-1.9758:39

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).