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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-W·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Ducks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 17:55 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 28, VGK 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. John Gibson stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA15012111228
VGKVGK222111210543

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    K. Holzer(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:13
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(16)
    M. Pacioretty (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:36
  3. VGK
    A. Tuch(6)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.73win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:40

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(15)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:55

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(14)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:55
  2. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    14:34
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(15)EN
    N. Schmidt (13), R. Smith (18)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:06

Penalties

ANA 7 PIM·VGK 9 PIM

1st

  • 17:36ANAAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:38VGKDeryk Engelland · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:55ANAJosh Manson · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Marchessault0 min
  • 12:31VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 19:38ANAMaxime Comtois · Fightingdrawn by Shea Theodore5 min
  • 19:38VGKShea Theodore · Fightingdrawn by Maxime Comtois5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 2nd 17:55 — VGK 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.73J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.40J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.35C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.26J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.24A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.17M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.14R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.13T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 4.8 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.22 G
All situations
4 G4.8
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G4.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA19%81%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
43
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
39
Hits
35
13
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
2
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000010.20100—22:04
6E. GudbransonD000-110.01700—21:41
47H. LindholmD000-320.03300—21:39
15R. GetzlafC000-340.111104218:07
42J. MansonD000-200.23010—17:57
25O. KaseR000-240.13010—17:30
33J. SilfverbergR101+140.44510—16:36
5K. HolzerD101+110.23320—16:17
34S. SteelC000-100.000004716:00
14A. HenriqueC000-210.050028015:39
32J. LarssonD000+100.00030—15:38
49M. JonesL000-210.02400—15:12
53M. ComtoisL000+100.08515—15:06
48I. LundestromC000+100.010005514:35
24C. RowneyC000-100.04410014:32
39S. CarrickC000010.061105013:46
29D. ShoreC000+130.123005013:43
20N. DeslauriersL000050.47210—13:23
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)42384.9054.40+0.4058:35

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).