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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-MW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 17:18 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 61% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 23, DAL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 9 of 10 (.900). Three stars: 1. Colton Parayko (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Allen (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Allen18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21021112523
DALDAL060716119

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:48
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:18

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:24
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly (42), V. Dunn (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    4:45

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    2:27
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (15)
    wristxG 0.01
    5-1
    16:27

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·DAL 16 PIM

1st

  • 18:03DALRoman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 11:23STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 11:23STLSammy Blais · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 11:23DALMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 16:49STLJustin Faulk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:30STLMackenzie MacEachern · Hookingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

3rd

  • 6:11STLZachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 9:16DALRoman Polak · Interferencedrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 9:16DALRoman Polak · Misconduct10 min
  • 9:16STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 1st 17:18 — STL 61% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.17S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.14R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.45 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.05 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL59%41%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
19
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD123+230.17120—23:06
72J. FaulkD000+110.01202—21:02
6M. ScandellaD000+310.03100—20:49
4C. GunnarssonD000+100.00030—19:44
90R. O'ReillyC022+210.100004518:43
41R. BortuzzoD000010.01320—18:19
10B. SchennC000+220.17222017:27
17J. SchwartzL112+210.23100—17:16
29V. DunnD011+120.21000—16:12
49I. BarbashevL000000.032025015:07
70O. SundqvistC000000.000007515:02
12Z. SanfordL000+120.18112—14:47
20A. SteenL101+210.05100—14:24
18R. ThomasC022+230.280106313:42
57D. PerronL101+120.2901010012:45
9S. BlaisL000-100.00602—11:30
28M. MacEachernL000010.03212—10:44
33J. KyrouR112+120.65000—09:21
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)19181.9471.94+0.9460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).