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Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FS-MW, FS-SW+·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Roope Hintz scoring at 2:19. The Stars came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 2:19 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 34, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Colton Parayko (2 G), 3. Anton Khudobin (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    C. Parayko2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1141801012334
STLSTL210080601225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn (9), R. Thomas (24)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    7:18
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:49
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    17:48

2nd period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:25

Overtime

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:19

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:29DALJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 6:15DALJamie Benn · Boardingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 7:41STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 16:50STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 9:47STLDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 13:40DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Jacob de la Rose2 min

3rd

  • 19:14STLJay Bouwmeester · Holding the stickdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, OT 2:19 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.16S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.15S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.11C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL56%44%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-120.10010—24:32
23E. LindellD000-140.12010—22:47
4M. HeiskanenD011+230.13100—21:44
91T. SeguinC000+240.323005320:21
13M. JanmarkC011000.00020018:01
24R. HintzC202+230.241105017:22
28S. JohnsD000+120.05510—17:14
16J. PavelskiC011030.150104517:10
15B. ComeauL000010.09200—16:59
45R. PolakD000020.04020—16:28
10C. PerryR000+110.27010—15:46
12R. FaksaC000010.030005515:27
14J. BennL101-120.432143315:11
2J. OleksiakD000020.03700—14:32
18J. DickinsonC000-120.361101414:13
34D. GurianovR000-110.25300—12:30
11A. CoglianoC000010.03200012:08
25J. KivirantaL000000.00202—11:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)25232.9202.28+0.2862:04

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).