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Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 17:07 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.3 to 3.1; shots on goal were STL 40, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ben Bishop stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Allen (31 saves, .969), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Allen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL111011218340
DALDAL05013114132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(2)
    R. O'Reilly (18), D. Perron (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:41

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(11)
    B. Comeau (2), R. Polak (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +42 pts
    1-1
    16:49
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(6)
    I. Barbashev (9), J. Bouwmeester (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +42 pts
    2-1
    17:07
  3. STL
    I. Barbashev(3)EN
    D. Perron (15), B. Schenn (11)
    backhandxG 0.63win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    19:57

Penalties

STL 0 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 18:38DALJustin Dowling · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

3rd

  • 14:40DALRoope Hintz · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 17:07 — STL 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.35J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.21A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.20R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.19J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.18A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.17J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.16R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.13C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 3.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
4.32 G
All situations
1 G3.1
3.02 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL55%45%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
40
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
34
17
Blocked shots
26
16
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000+260.21010—23:32
55C. ParaykoD101030.22030—22:36
19J. BouwmeesterD011+110.02020—22:06
72J. FaulkD000+220.04000—20:44
17J. SchwartzL000020.04220—20:25
90R. O'ReillyC112+240.521104320:13
10B. SchennC011+130.250003319:15
57D. PerronL022+220.13300—19:11
18R. ThomasC000020.270005016:58
29V. DunnD000-110.04030—16:51
21T. BozakC000-110.110103316:05
49I. BarbashevL112+220.793307815:11
12Z. SanfordL000030.48100—13:44
36T. BrouwerR000000.07300—12:12
28M. MacEachernL000040.50200—10:40
51D. PouliotD000010.01210—10:36
26N. WalkerL000000.00100—10:00
61J. de la RoseL000030.582006009:41
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)32311.9693.13+2.1360:00

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).