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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-SW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sammy Blais's goal at 10:25 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 29, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.5 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 2. Sammy Blais (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    S. Blais1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL19110010229
STLSTL11503212330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(1)
    S. Blais (1), C. Parayko (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:21
  2. DAL
    M. Janmark(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:04

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    13:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(1)
    V. Tarasenko (1), J. Schwartz (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:27
  2. STL
    S. Blais(2)
    C. Gunnarsson (1), R. O'Reilly (3)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:25

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:15DALTaylor Fedun · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 1:05STLOskar Sundqvist · Hookingdrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min
  • 5:20DALAndrej Sekera · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

3rd

  • 0:48STLJay Bouwmeester · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Sammy Blais, 3rd 10:25 — STL 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.47R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.24O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.05S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.62 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL69%31%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 1.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD101+170.62000—25:18
3J. KlingbergD000-250.21120—23:44
23E. LindellD000000.00000—22:02
91T. SeguinC000-140.302005319:30
5A. SekeraD000+210.02032—19:03
16J. PavelskiC000-120.490005018:52
47A. RadulovR000020.11110—18:06
24R. HintzC000000.182103617:26
14J. BennL000-120.3021010016:56
12R. FaksaC000-210.051006416:08
42T. FedunD000-100.02202—14:27
2J. OleksiakD000-200.00410—13:42
37J. DowlingC000-120.072005013:20
13M. JanmarkC101000.04110012:58
49R. GardnerC000000.001003312:04
34D. GurianovR000+130.16200—11:46
11A. CoglianoC000+100.0000010011:35
17N. CaamanoR000000.01100—11:18
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)30273.9001.54-1.4657:45

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).