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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Beaulieu's goal at 1:36 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.9, WPG 3.0; shots on goal were CHI 33, WPG 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Appleton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan Beaulieu (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dmitry Kulikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Appleton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Beaulieu1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Kulikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI11011409233
WPGWPG01421519338

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (47), O. Maatta (12)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:44

2nd period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:38
  2. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:37
  3. CHI
    J. Toews (34), D. Kubalik (13)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:07

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    1:36

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan Beaulieu, 3rd 1:36 — WPG 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.28M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.25G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.18J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.15A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Chibisov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.09G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.08P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.03T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · Goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
2.92 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.72 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI51%49%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
33
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/0
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
0
15
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000010.02010—24:18
56E. GustafssonD000+140.30210—24:06
88P. KaneR112+130.40010—20:45
5C. MurphyD000-110.02220—20:15
19J. ToewsC011030.351006319:39
6O. MaattaD011000.00060—19:03
20B. SaadL000+120.13110—18:32
8D. KubalikL011030.39210—18:21
68S. KoekkoekD000020.13000—18:05
22R. CarpenterC101+130.410004216:05
77K. DachC000-230.16000014:56
12A. DeBrincatR000-220.20100—14:51
55N. SeelerD000-200.00520—14:13
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.20000—13:55
17D. StromeC000-100.001004213:46
92A. NylanderL000030.07000—11:28
36M. HighmoreC000010.14000009:56
64D. KampfC000000.010105009:37
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)38353.9212.98-0.0258:09

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).