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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 0:37 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were CHI 32, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (36 saves, .973), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 3 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Lehner36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI11203317432
WPGWPG01601417137

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (23), D. Strome (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:59

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (24)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:37
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:09
  3. CHI
    P. Kane (25)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    10:58
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    16:39

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:08CHIDominik Kubalik · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

  • 5:29CHIDennis Gilbert · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:58WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min

3rd

  • 9:49WPGserved by J. Luoto · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 3rd 0:37 — CHI 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05T. Poolman · Goal · xG 0.04L. Sbisa · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.02L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
2.44 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI57%43%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
8
Hits
29
19
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000020.07220—23:26
5C. MurphyD000+100.00130—21:45
56E. GustafssonD101+130.16110—19:33
88P. KaneR134+380.40000—19:12
19J. ToewsC000+140.340105019:02
6O. MaattaD000+100.00140—18:18
39D. GilbertD000+110.03042—17:32
27A. BoqvistD011010.04000—17:07
12A. DeBrincatR000-110.00000—16:55
22R. CarpenterC000020.380203815:37
64D. KampfC000000.000007015:09
17D. StromeC011+120.120004514:52
8D. KubalikL101+140.36002—14:39
92A. NylanderL112+130.43100—14:15
36M. HighmoreC000000.00100013:29
77K. DachC000000.020206713:28
15Z. SmithC000000.0010010013:25
20B. SaadL000010.04000—08:16
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)37361.9732.01+1.0160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).