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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 13:27 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 26, WPG 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (1 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G), 3. Corey Crawford (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Copp1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Crawford31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI2901007226
WPGWPG010112414536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:15
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (42), N. Seeler (1)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:58

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(27)SHG
    A. Copp (11)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:44

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    9:04
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    13:27
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(24)EN
    wristxG 0.50win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:37
  4. WPG
    K. Connor(28)EN
    wristxG 0.95
    2-5
    19:40

Penalties

CHI 17 PIM·WPG 11 PIM

1st

  • 11:40CHIConnor Murphy · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 17:44CHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 2:46WPGSami Niku · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 4:50WPGNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 4:50CHINick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 5:26WPGAnthony Bitetto · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 6:27CHIKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 14:17WPGNeal Pionk · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

3rd

  • 4:39CHISlater Koekkoek · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 8:48CHIJonathan Toews · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 16:08CHIJonathan Toews · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 3rd 13:27 — WPG 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.95P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.50K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.30A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 4.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
2.22 G
All situations
3 G4.3
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI38%62%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
36
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-230.06200—26:14
88P. KaneR011-230.21200—20:49
56E. GustafssonD000-310.03220—20:03
19J. ToewsC011-220.210047019:05
68S. KoekkoekD000010.06242—18:59
5C. MurphyD000+120.08222—18:43
6O. MaattaD000010.00110—18:43
20B. SaadL101-110.26010—16:55
55N. SeelerD011+110.03227—15:19
22R. CarpenterC000010.1100010014:56
8D. KubalikL101040.47000—14:51
64D. KampfC000-100.000102914:38
77K. DachC000020.132025614:26
12A. DeBrincatR000-310.19000—14:10
15Z. SmithC000000.000002012:03
91D. CaggiulaL011+110.24020—11:03
17D. StromeC000-110.040005010:24
36M. HighmoreC000010.04100009:09
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)34313.9122.85-0.1559:14

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).