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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 18:17 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 10% to 25%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were WPG 38, CHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 A), 2. Robin Lehner (36 saves, .947), 3. Alex Nylander (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    R. Lehner36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Nylander1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG08120110238
CHICHI28014311533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:51
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:11

2nd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:17

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:29
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:14
  3. WPG
    N. Pionk (27), B. Wheeler (27)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    17:51
  4. CHI
    J. Toews (30), C. Murphy (11)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:26

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·CHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:27CHIDominik Kubalik · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 8:27WPGDmitry Kulikov · Embellishmentdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 19:44CHIDrake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

2nd

  • 4:20CHIDrake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 4:20CHIDrake Caggiula · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 12:13WPGAnthony Bitetto · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 14:16CHIDrake Caggiula · Trippingdrawn by Luca Sbisa2 min

3rd

  • 10:33WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min
  • 19:23CHIOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 18:17 — WPG 10% → 25%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.53J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.22D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.22D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.18D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.17A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.15J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.14B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.11A. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.10E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.06A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI5 G · 3.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
4.92 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.62 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
2.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG76%24%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.85 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
38
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
47
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
24
7
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81K. ConnorL000020.34010—25:16
4N. PionkD011030.18530—24:44
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.01000—24:10
29P. LaineL101030.8030010023:17
55M. ScheifeleC101041.081024422:56
7D. KulikovD000-100.00942—22:12
26B. WheelerR011020.102104722:02
9A. CoppC000+120.586003618:11
5L. SbisaD011010.01520—16:41
27N. EhlersL011050.58010—16:09
85M. PerreaultC000-260.83000013:53
28J. RoslovicC000-300.0010010013:05
2A. BitettoD000-200.00422—11:39
8S. NikuD000-210.01210—11:13
21N. ShoreC000-130.025008010:52
82M. AppletonC000-240.21100009:50
17A. LowryC000-110.162005004:30
57G. BourqueL000-100.00100—04:02
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)32284.8753.01-0.9959:15

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).