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Flames at Kings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Los Angeles Kings
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, SN1·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Flames scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 12:21 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 33% to 53%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.7, LAK 3.6; shots on goal were CGY 38, LAK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. David Rittich stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Cal Petersen stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kurtis MacDermid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cal Petersen (35 saves, .921), 3. Matt Roy.

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    K. MacDermid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    C. Petersen35 saves, .921
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    M. Roy

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY08114216338
LAKLAK01321139533

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(8)
    M. Tkachuk (27)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:37
  2. LAK
    T. Toffoli(15)
    A. Kopitar (31), A. Iafallo (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:21
  3. LAK
    A. Wagner(4)
    T. Lewis (6), K. MacDermid (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:00

3rd period

  1. LAK
    K. MacDermid(3)
    D. Brown (15), B. Lizotte (14)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:42
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(23)
    D. Ryan (18), J. Gaudreau (32)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:25
  3. LAK
    J. Carter(17)
    A. Kempe (14), M. Frk (1)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:12
  4. CGY
    E. Lindholm(24)
    J. Gaudreau (33), R. Andersson (13)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    16:55
  5. LAK
    S. Walker(5)EN
    A. Kopitar (32)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:57

Penalties

CGY 19 PIM·LAK 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:48LAKDerek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 6:23CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 6:23LAKKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 16:41CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min
  • 16:41LAKAlec Martinez · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:41CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min

3rd

  • 7:30LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 8:28LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:57CGYRasmus Andersson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 12:21 — LAK 33% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.46A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.36A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.17T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.17J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06K. MacDermid · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.63 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
38
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/1
19
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13J. GaudreauL022+150.67000—23:48
55N. HanifinD000-220.09010—23:07
4R. AnderssonD011-210.003210—22:53
28E. LindholmC202+130.341104022:49
7T. BrodieD000000.01110—22:48
19M. TkachukL011+120.33304—22:29
26M. StoneD000030.07010—20:48
23S. MonahanC000-130.311104019:38
11M. BacklundC101070.720005919:11
88A. MangiapaneL000020.41200—17:30
10D. RyanC011010.010004213:14
58O. KylingtonD000010.01000—12:54
29D. DubeC000-240.56100012:37
45A. YelesinD000020.02200—10:59
17M. LucicL000-210.08305—10:58
77M. JankowskiL000-200.00010—09:45
16T. RiederL000-100.01200—07:56
36Z. RinaldoC000-110.01500006:42
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)32284.8753.13-0.8756:24

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).