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Flames at Kings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

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Calgary Flames
1
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 0:16 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.7, LAK 2.9; shots on goal were CGY 24, LAK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. David Rittich stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (23 saves, .958), 3. Alec Martinez (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Martinez1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0804112124
LAKLAK1832008436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(3)
    B. Lizotte (2), J. Carter (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:15

2nd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:16
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    5:45
  3. LAK
    I. Kovalchuk(3)PPG
    A. Martinez (3), M. Amadio (2)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    8:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15
    1-4
    17:50

Penalties

CGY 30 PIM·LAK 14 PIM

1st

  • 5:51LAKAnze Kopitar · Hookingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 8:10LAKKurtis MacDermid · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:56CGYMichael Frolik · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 16:04CGYDavid Rittich · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 17:47LAKJeff Carter · Holdingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

2nd

  • 4:31LAKKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 8:31CGYTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 9:25CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 9:25LAKKyle Clifford · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 9:25CGYOliver Kylington · Holding the stickdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 11:26CGYDavid Rittich · Slashingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

3rd

  • 10:25LAKAustin Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 10:25CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min
  • 10:25CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 10:25CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 10:25CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Misconductdrawn by Drew Doughty10 min
  • 11:53LAKserved by I. Kovalchuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:42CGYMikael Backlund · Interferencedrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 17:50LAKDrew Doughty · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Mikael Backlund0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCGY goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 2nd 0:16 — LAK 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.22J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.20A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.15K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.15J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.06D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.04I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03I. Kovalchuk · Goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsLAK
2.71 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY47%53%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsLAK
24
Shots on goal
36
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
1/8
30
Penalty minutes
14
8
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-220.13040—23:43
24T. HamonicD000-100.03022—22:10
55N. HanifinD000-110.07210—20:52
7T. BrodieD000-120.23020—20:26
28E. LindholmC000040.410003619:13
13J. GaudreauL000010.01000—17:58
23S. MonahanC000-120.331107016:33
16T. RiederL000020.12000—15:20
4R. AnderssonD000-120.15104—15:15
11M. BacklundC101-130.640024413:46
10D. RyanC000010.041106313:44
67M. FrolikR000-210.11012—13:30
77M. JankowskiL000000.000005013:13
58O. KylingtonD000000.02012—12:57
19M. TkachukL000-210.151014—12:33
27A. CzarnikC000000.03020012:07
17M. LucicL000-120.26100—12:03
93S. BennettC000-100.001007110:07
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)28244.8572.40-1.6039:49
39C. Talbot8801.0000.47+0.4720:00

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).