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Kings at Flames
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
Final/OTTV FS-W, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Drew Doughty scoring at 0:50. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew Doughty's goal at 0:50 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 40, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G, 2 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK2201100812440
CGYCGY0321211400329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(1)
    I. Kovalchuk (2), D. Doughty (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. LAK
    S. Walker(1)
    B. Lizotte (1), T. Toffoli (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:26

2nd period

  1. LAK
    I. Kovalchuk(1)
    A. Kempe (1), D. Doughty (2)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:46
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    10:51
  3. CGY
    N. Hanifin(1)
    M. Tkachuk (2), T. Brodie (1)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:33

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(2)
    R. Andersson (1), J. Gaudreau (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:56

Overtime

  1. LAK
    D. Doughty(2)PPG
    A. Kopitar (3), I. Kovalchuk (3)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:50

Penalties

LAK 9 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 12:26LAKKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 0:44LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:09CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 6:09LAKKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min

3rd

  • 2:04CGYSam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 19:32CGYSam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Drew Doughty, OT 0:50 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.21S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.10R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
3.44 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK72%28%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
40
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. MartinezD000-200.00140—22:56
8D. DoughtyD123040.25410—21:46
11A. KopitarC011-230.350104120:24
26S. WalkerD101+210.01220—19:48
15B. HuttonD000+140.28210—19:42
17I. KovalchukL123+220.55010—19:02
77J. CarterC000+120.051007618:38
23D. BrownR000030.17202—18:24
3M. RoyD000-100.00150—17:43
10M. AmadioR000-230.180105017:34
9A. KempeR011+120.211006717:23
19A. IafalloL000-230.41120—16:15
22T. LewisC000-140.10100015:36
13K. CliffordL000-120.04200—13:40
73T. ToffoliC112+240.39100012:21
46B. LizotteC011+220.420002911:37
33T. BjornfotD000000.00000—09:22
56K. MacDermidL000010.01207—07:11
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)29263.8972.08-0.9260:48

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).