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Kings at Flames
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
3
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV FS-W, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 11:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were LAK 33, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dillon Dube (1 G, 1 A), 2. Milan Lucic (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Dube1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Lucic1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK28011114333
CGYCGY11221018430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(11)PPG
    D. Doughty (14)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    11:09
  2. LAK
    D. Doughty(6)PPG
    D. Brown (10), A. Kopitar (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    14:43
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(2)PPG
    M. Backlund (9), D. Ryan (10)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    18:14

2nd period

  1. CGY
    Z. Rinaldo(1)
    D. Dube (2), T. Rieder (1)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    3:01
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(8)
    J. Gaudreau (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(3)
    D. Ryan (11), M. Lucic (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    1:29
  2. LAK
    M. Roy(3)
    N. Prokhorkin (2), T. Lewis (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    5:24

Penalties

LAK 23 PIM·CGY 21 PIM

1st

  • 11:03CGYTobias Rieder · Interferencedrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 12:40LAKBlake Lizotte · Hookingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 14:30CGYMikael Backlund · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 16:48LAKMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

2nd

  • 5:25CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:07LAKKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo5 min
  • 17:07CGYZac Rinaldo · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 17:07LAKKyle Clifford · Game misconductdrawn by Zac Rinaldo10 min
  • 17:07CGYZac Rinaldo · Game misconductdrawn by Kyle Clifford10 min

3rd

  • 9:06LAKTrevor Lewis · Trippingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 16:35LAKTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 11:46 — CGY 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Rinaldo · Goal · xG 0.25J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.22J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.20D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.18S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.15M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
1.83 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK34%66%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
30
66%
Faceoffs
34%
2/3
Power play
1/4
23
Penalty minutes
21
16
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD112-140.11020—25:59
6J. RyanD000-110.02010—22:01
3M. RoyD101040.14130—20:33
11A. KopitarC112030.230208920:17
19A. IafalloL000+110.10200—19:33
9A. KempeR000-120.13100—19:03
15B. HuttonD000000.02110—17:27
23D. BrownR011010.14300—17:16
26S. WalkerD000-130.22110—17:13
77J. CarterC000020.130005017:08
46B. LizotteC000-100.011127116:34
73T. ToffoliC000-130.07002014:43
10M. AmadioR000-120.022023314:18
51A. WagnerL000-110.11210—13:36
56K. MacDermidL000-110.01210—13:07
22T. LewisC011010.01002010:07
74N. ProkhorkinL011010.100007808:10
13K. CliffordL000-230.210015—06:46
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)30264.8672.62-1.3858:43

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).