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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 12:36 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 74% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 20, STL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (3 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (18 saves, .900), 3. Alex Pietrangelo (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington18 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0501214220
STLSTL11111619336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:23

2nd period

  1. STL
    T. Bozak (2), V. Dunn (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:36

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    3:55
  2. WPG
    K. Hayes (1), A. Copp (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    12:17
  3. WPG
    B. Little(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.10
    2-3
    19:22

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·STL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 7:36WPGJacob Trouba · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 10:39WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 6:13STLVladimir Tarasenko · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 17:49WPGBlake Wheeler · High sticking double minordrawn by Oskar Sundqvist4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 2nd 12:36 — STL 74% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.69D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.45J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.23R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.16D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.16J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
21

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD112020.30422—26:57
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.020203221:35
44J. MorrisseyD000010.26030—20:57
8J. TroubaD000000.03122—20:56
26B. WheelerR000030.122045020:19
81K. ConnorL000030.31000—20:10
57T. MyersD000010.01010—19:05
7B. ChiarotD000-120.07010—18:16
29P. LaineL000+120.11000—18:11
12K. HayesR011+210.090204415:36
18B. LittleC101+110.100006315:14
9A. CoppC011000.002005013:11
85M. PerreaultC011010.08310012:41
17A. LowryC000-100.001105711:41
13B. TanevL000-120.23200—11:40
5D. KulikovD000000.00100—11:39
27N. EhlersL000000.15000—09:01
28J. RoslovicC000000.00110008:59
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)36333.9172.25-0.7557:44

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).