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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
3
FinalTV CNBC, FS-MW·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 3:46 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 74%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.0, WPG 2.2; shots on goal were STL 32, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.0 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1821519432
WPGWPG1826015329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(1)
    J. Bouwmeester (1), J. Schwartz (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    5:23
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(1)
    M. Scheifele (1), A. Copp (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:01

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(2)PPG
    B. Wheeler (1), D. Byfuglien (2)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    2:49
  2. STL
    P. Maroon(1)
    R. Thomas (1), A. Pietrangelo (2)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:42
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(2)
    D. Perron (1), J. Edmundson (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    9:50
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(1)PPG
    K. Connor (1), D. Byfuglien (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(1)
    J. Bouwmeester (2), C. Parayko (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    3:46

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:58STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 4:55WPGMark Scheifele · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 7:58WPGMark Scheifele · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 9:41WPGAndrew Copp · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 2:30STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 18:33STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 5:11WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 3:46 — STL 47% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.14P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.09B. Little · On goal · xG 0.09D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Little · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
2.04 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL44%56%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
32
12
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+110.01120—23:29
27A. PietrangeloD011+150.15230—23:17
90R. O'ReillyC101050.320024822:54
19J. BouwmeesterD022+120.04310—21:49
10B. SchennC000020.12210020:31
57D. PerronL011+110.13000—19:02
29V. DunnD000+110.02010—18:35
91V. TarasenkoR000060.27210—18:03
17J. SchwartzL011+220.15200—17:25
70O. SundqvistC202+220.162105314:35
6J. EdmundsonD011+100.00300—14:18
18R. ThomasC011+110.0300210013:17
41R. BortuzzoD000+110.03112—13:11
21T. BozakC000000.001002212:19
20A. SteenL000000.00110—12:15
49I. BarbashevL000+110.101004311:38
7P. MaroonL101+120.44200—10:51
12Z. SanfordL000000.00300—10:03
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)29263.8972.23-0.7759:45

Series

STL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).