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St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Jets scored first; the Blues answered. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 17:55 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were STL 26, WPG 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 26 (.923).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0808210226
WPGWPG1701107125

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:28

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:05
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +44 pts
    2-1
    17:55

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:34WPGMark Scheifele · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min

2nd

  • 5:53WPGMathieu Perreault · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 9:55WPGDmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 16:51STLTyler Bozak · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 3rd 17:55 — STL 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Little · Missed · xG 0.18B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.10B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.06P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
2.32 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL57%43%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
36
16
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011010.08110—25:23
90R. O'ReillyC000010.140205222:42
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.01130—20:56
55C. ParaykoD011+140.11120—20:53
10B. SchennC000010.117005019:46
91V. TarasenkoR000030.80100—18:59
17J. SchwartzL000020.07010—17:47
29V. DunnD000010.13000—16:53
57D. PerronL101020.13000—16:35
70O. SundqvistC011020.101005016:08
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.01120—16:03
7P. MaroonL011+100.00100—13:59
6J. EdmundsonD000030.08220—13:56
18R. ThomasC000+100.0000010013:55
21T. BozakC101+160.411023813:04
20A. SteenL000000.00120—12:54
49I. BarbashevL000000.003003811:37
12Z. SanfordL000000.10010—06:30
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)25241.9601.60+0.6060:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).