Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 17:31 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 56% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 21, PIT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Matt Murray stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (2 G), 2. Matt Murray (20 saves, .952), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Guentzel2 G

- ★★M. Murray20 saves, .952

- ★★★E. Malkin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-19:21
1-112:55
1-217:31
3rd period
1-319:02
Penalties
1st
- 1:10
John Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
2nd
- 0:37
Evgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 3:30
Chandler Stephenson · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 11:51
Jake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
- 14:17
Jake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
- 16:10
T.J. Oshie · Interferencedrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
3rd
- 18:49
served by C. Stephenson · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 19:02
Kris Letang · Fightingdrawn by T.J. Oshie5 min
- 19:02
T.J. Oshie · Fightingdrawn by Kris Letang5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 2nd 17:31 — 56% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.2
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 1.96
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 2/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 43
- Hits
- 25
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 5
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
WSH leads 4-2
3@
2Final
1@
4Final
4@
3Final
1@
3this game
3@
6Final
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
