Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 14:54 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 33, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Braden Holtby (32 saves, .970), 2. Jakub Vrana (1 G), 3. Lars Eller (3 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-11:26
0-214:54
2nd period
0-32:08
1-313:04
3rd period
1-419:53
Penalties
1st
- 6:57
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
- 12:59
Sidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
2nd
- 11:14
Patric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 11:14
Dmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
3rd
- 5:38
T.J. Oshie · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 11:37
Kris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
- 14:48
Derick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
- 16:19
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 18:17
Patric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
- 18:17
Devante Smith-Pelly · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 1st 14:54 — 69% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.41
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 31
- Hits
- 33
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 31
- 4
- Giveaways
- 17
- 5
- Takeaways
- 16
Box score
every player line
Series
WSH leads 4-2
3@
2Final
1@
4this game
4@
3Final
1@
3Final
3@
6Final
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
