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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV FS-N+, FS-SW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 34, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Kari Lehtonen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kari Lehtonen (33 saves, .971), 3. Eric Staal.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    K. Lehtonen33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    E. Staal

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN010011113134
DALDAL11311528436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Spezza(8)
    A. Radulov (41), J. Klingberg (56)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:49

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Klingberg(8)
    J. Benn (42), T. Seguin (36)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:00

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Faksa(16)SHG
    T. Pitlick (12)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    0:19
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(13)PPG
    M. Granlund (44), J. Brodin (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    1:29
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(40)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47
    1-4
    19:13

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:33MINNick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 13:59MINNate Prosser · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 14:32DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min

2nd

  • 11:53MINDevan Dubnyk · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 19:45DALRemi Elie · Holdingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

3rd

  • 14:40DALAntoine Roussel · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 2nd 8:00 — DAL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.46J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.21G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.17A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.15A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.14R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.08G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.06R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.06D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
2.51 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-330.19110—30:41
25J. BrodinD011-240.23120—22:35
6R. MurphyD000-210.03000—20:42
64M. GranlundC011-100.04100019:30
9M. KoivuC000-110.161003519:02
12E. StaalC000-440.451006118:50
11Z. PariseL101-130.2711010017:31
20R. SuterD000-120.02100—16:58
16J. ZuckerL000-330.32100—16:56
36N. SeelerD000000.00202—16:12
22N. NiederreiterR000-210.11000—16:05
3C. CoyleC000000.120102513:34
39N. ProsserD000010.01012—12:49
18J. GreenwayL000-120.08110—11:33
14J. Eriksson EkC000050.140004511:09
7M. CullenC000020.100006711:04
17M. FolignoL000000.00300—10:20
26D. WinnikL000020.19000—09:51
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)35323.9142.73-0.2758:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).