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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV FS-N+, FS-SW+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 5:12 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 26, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1111906226
MINMIN110210111431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(18)
    E. Lindell (11), D. Shore (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:37
  2. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(4)
    C. Coyle (11), T. Ennis (4)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:19

2nd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(15)
    C. Coyle (12), J. Brodin (3)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:12
  2. DAL
    M. Janmark(7)PPG
    T. Seguin (16), J. Benn (18)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:43
  3. MIN
    M. Granlund(8)PPG
    J. Zucker (12), M. Koivu (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:08

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(15)EN
    M. Granlund (16), R. Suter (18)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:15

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:30MINJonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

2nd

  • 10:33MINDaniel Winnik · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 12:58DALDevin Shore · Trippingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 16:26MINJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 18:04DALMartin Hanzal · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min

3rd

  • 0:21MINMikko Koivu · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 15:13DALBen Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 5:12 — MIN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.55R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.19C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.14J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.13T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.11D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.11M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
2
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-140.06010—22:37
23E. LindellD011-110.01020—22:27
91T. SeguinC112+110.171104722:02
2D. HamhuisD000-110.02110—21:14
29G. PaterynD000-100.00110—20:27
14J. BennL011+110.021004420:07
47A. RadulovR000-230.18000—18:25
13M. JanmarkC101-230.430106718:02
10M. HanzalC000-210.181023316:07
28S. JohnsD000020.04220—16:06
17D. ShoreC011020.08102015:42
6J. HonkaD000000.00000—14:09
12R. FaksaC000-110.012003312:50
18T. PitlickC000-140.07210012:13
21A. RousselL000-100.00000—12:12
90J. SpezzaC000020.040106712:04
25B. RitchieR000000.02200—11:05
40R. ElieL000000.10000—09:06
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)30273.9001.95-1.0558:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).