Skip to content
Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Stars scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 8:18 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were DAL 31, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathew Dumba (1 G, 3 A), 3. Zach Parise (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL17111013231
MINMIN1731114522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(29)
    T. Seguin (35)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:51
  2. MIN
    M. Granlund(20)SHG
    R. Suter (44)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:02

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(12)PPG
    R. Suter (45), J. Zucker (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:19
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(11)
    M. Granlund (42), M. Dumba (32)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:18
  3. DAL
    D. Shore(10)
    D. Hamhuis (21), M. Methot (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:42
  4. MIN
    J. Zucker(31)PPG
    E. Staal (34), M. Dumba (33)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    19:49

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(12)EN
    M. Granlund (43), M. Dumba (34)
    wristxG 0.47
    2-5
    19:42

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 13:03MINCharlie Coyle · Holdingdrawn by Remi Elie2 min
  • 15:49MINRyan Murphy · High sticking double minordrawn by Antoine Roussel4 min

2nd

  • 6:48DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 18:47DALJohn Klingberg · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 13:41DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 15:33MINZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 20:00MINDaniel Winnik · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 20:00DALAntoine Roussel · Chargingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 8:18 — MIN 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.47J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.20Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.07J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN5 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
1.72 G
All situations
4 G1.9
0.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 1.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
7
8
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-220.10012—31:11
91T. SeguinC011-180.420105026:04
47A. RadulovR000-240.21002—25:36
23E. LindellD000030.06120—24:07
14J. BennL101-130.301025023:58
29G. PaterynD000-110.00210—17:53
33M. MethotD011+210.02200—17:41
2D. HamhuisD011000.00110—17:34
90J. SpezzaC000030.250004615:27
13M. JanmarkC000-310.01010014:52
12R. FaksaC000010.140003514:15
18T. PitlickC000010.03210013:36
17D. ShoreC101+110.053005012:48
21A. RousselL000000.0010210011:00
25B. RitchieR000000.00000—09:18
46G. SmithC000+110.02000009:09
40R. ElieL000-110.0100010007:58
28S. JohnsD000+100.04200—06:13
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(L)21174.8101.45-2.5557:47

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).