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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Dallas Stars
▸6
FinalTV FS-N, FS-SW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 6-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stephen Johns's goal at 9:37 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 31, DAL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kari Lehtonen (30 saves, .968), 3. Stephen Johns (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    K. Lehtonen30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    S. Johns1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01001516131
DALDAL0942029638

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(15)PPG
    J. Klingberg (44), J. Spezza (16)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    8:58
  2. DAL
    S. Johns(6)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:37
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(21)PPG
    D. Shore (17), T. Seguin (21)
    snapxG 0.59win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    11:49
  4. DAL
    T. Seguin(25)
    J. Benn (28), A. Radulov (29)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:06

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(21)
    M. Granlund (26), J. Spurgeon (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    5:40
  2. DAL
    A. Radulov(21)
    T. Seguin (22)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    8:05
  3. DAL
    D. Hamhuis(2)
    G. Pateryn (6), B. Ritchie (5)
    wristxG 0.01
    1-6
    16:02

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:41MINJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Kari Lehtonen2 min
  • 10:12MINRyan Suter · Elbowingdrawn by Remi Elie2 min
  • 16:39DALJason Spezza · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 19:03DALTyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Stephen Johns, 2nd 9:37 — DAL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.59B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.34A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.18A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.16S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.16S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.15J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.15R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06S. Johns · Goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Elie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.00J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.00G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL6 G · 3.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
2.61 G
All situations
6 G3.7
2.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN34%66%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
38
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
24
21
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-120.03300—24:49
46J. SpurgeonD011-110.02210—23:35
20R. SuterD000030.11042—22:33
25J. BrodinD000-110.02000—22:25
12E. StaalC000-230.432004517:56
11Z. PariseL000060.72020—17:32
22N. NiederreiterR000-200.1911010017:25
9M. KoivuC000010.151503015:39
64M. GranlundC011010.06010015:30
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.003002015:02
3C. CoyleC000020.140102914:52
63T. EnnisR000-210.13400—14:34
16J. ZuckerL101030.33202—13:39
39N. ProsserD000-110.16130—13:24
4M. ReillyD000-220.05000—13:14
26D. WinnikL000-110.010102011:55
10C. StewartR000-100.00020—11:43
17M. FolignoL000-130.07500—11:19
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)29254.8623.06-0.9440:00
40D. Dubnyk972.7780.60-1.4020:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).