Model-driven college football coverage from the Gridpex desks.
Two teams arrive in South Bend playing better than their reputations. Army carries an 11-1 record built on the option, ball control, and a defense that gives u…
This is one of those November games we can read with more confidence than usual. The number we're leaning on isn't a dusty preseason guess or a tidied-up final…
Nobody should fall in love with either of these teams, and the smart read is honest about that. Color it Colorado by about four in Lawrence — a hair under a to…
This isn't a summer guess and it isn't a final report card on the season. It's a read taken right now, in week 13, that starts with what we expected from each…
We walk into Columbus with a clear but careful opinion: Ohio State by a touchdown. Back the Buckeyes, expect them to win by a little less than seven, and call…
The lean is blunt: Ole Miss should win at Florida by about 15 points, and the Rebels figure to leave Gainesville with the win roughly four times out of five. T…
Vegas hung Miami (OH) as a 30.7-point favorite over Kent State, treating this like a wipe-the-floor mismatch. The smart read had it a lot closer — Miami the be…
The number told one story; San Diego State told another. The betting line had the Aztecs as roughly a 17-point underdog. The smart read pegged them closer to a…
Going in, the smart read was that the betting public had Tennessee pegged too low. The market made the Volunteers a big favorite, but our number on them was bi…
