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Arch Manning produced eight of Texas's twelve explosive plays

The scoreboard says rout. The interesting part is HOW — and whether it means anything.

The Film Room
Matchups ·
4 min read

Texas State never had a foothold. They run away from Texas State, 59-7 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas led from start to finish and never let Texas State within striking distance. Arch Manning threw for 305 yards on 27 attempts with four touchdowns and ran three times for 6 yards.

59-7
Final
Texas · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
305
Arch Manning
passing yds, 4 TD

One team finished its drives

Texas scored on 89% of its drives to Texas State's 18%: Arch Manning (24 pts), Ryan Wingo (6 pts) and Cam Coleman (12 pts). Texas produced 12 plays of 15+ yards to Texas State's 6, led by Arch Manning (involved in 8), Ryan Wingo (involved in 4) and Cam Coleman (involved in 2). Stacked together, it was never close.

Head to head
TexasTexas State
Points
59
7
Scored on % of drives
88.9%
18.2%
Three-and-out %
11.1%
18.2%
Yards / drive
55.7
33.1

How the two sides actually played on the night.

The names on it

Arch Manning threw for 305 yards on 27 attempts with four touchdowns and ran three times for 6 yards, including two of them from inside the 20, five third-down conversions and a hand in eight plays of 15 yards or more. Ryan Wingo caught seven passes for 121 yards, one of them for a touchdown, including a hand in four plays of 15 yards or more. Cam Coleman caught three passes for 70 yards, two of them for touchdowns, with that score from inside the 20 and two third-down conversions. For Texas State, Davian Jackson ran seven times for 29 yards and one score and caught one pass for 24 yards, with that score from inside the 20, five third-down conversions and a hand in five plays of 15 yards or more. Tucker Cusano caught three passes for 58 yards. Chris Dawn Jr. caught four passes for 40 yards, including three third-down conversions. Rasheem Biles was the disruptive one for Texas: 0.5 TFL, 1 INT, 1 forced fumble, 2.5 tackles.

Who beat their season average — and who didn't
Jaylen Jenkins (rushing)34 yds (-44% vs avg)

Key players' yardage vs their per-game season norm.

TeamPassingRushingReceiving
TexasArch Manning 305, 4 TDDaylan Smothers 70Ryan Wingo 121, 1 TD
Texas StateBrad Jackson 150Jaylen Jenkins 34Tucker Cusano 58
Leaders

What Texas State has to fix

The problems had names: Davian Jackson (1 interception).

Who got home

Three names to keep: Rasheem Biles (0.5 TFL, 1 INT, 1 forced fumble, 2.5 tackles) for Texas, Ryan Nolan (1 INT, 1 PBU, 3.5 tackles) for Texas State and Maraad Watson (1 sack, 1 TFL, 1 tackle) for Texas.

The order of events

Texas struck first through Arch Manning, led 28-7 at the half and Texas got the final points on a late touchdown by James Simon.

WhenTeamPlay
Q1 10:31TexasArch Manning pass to Cam Coleman for 6 yds, for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
Q1 04:14TexasArch Manning pass to Ryan Wingo for 8 yds, for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
Q2 07:53Texas(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Raleek Brown rush left for 13 yards gain to the TXST00…
Q2 05:56Texas(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Taji Atkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS41 fumbled…
Q2 03:59Texas State(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Davian Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS00…
Q3 12:46Texas(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Arch Manning pass complete deep middle to Cam Coleman caught at…
Q3 07:55Texas(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Arch Manning pass complete short right to Daylan Smothers…
Q3 05:00Texas(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Raleek Brown rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TXST00…
Q4 06:00Texas(06:00) Gianni Spetic field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: Mac Chiumento, LS: Trey…
Q4 02:08Texas(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun James Simon rush right for 7 yards gain to the TXST00…
How the points were scored

What it means

What comparable games predict next
Texas offense (winner)38% of 8 rebounded
Texas State offense (loser)67% of 6 rebounded

Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.

Business handled for Texas. The question now is whether the opponent told us anything. Davian Jackson was responsible for 6 of Texas State's points; there was not enough behind him.

Discussion

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