Memphis vs. UConn: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
MEMTeam statsCONN
- Q4 9:47CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.10–45
- Q4 9:47CONNCONNECTICUT rush for a touchdown.10–45
- Q3 1:12CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.10–38
- Q3 1:12CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.10–37
- Q3 4:58MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.10–31
- Q3 4:58MEMMEMPHIS pass complete for a touchdown.9–31
- Q3 7:20CONNCONNECTICUT 46 yard field goal GOOD.3–31
- Q3 9:06CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–28
- Q3 9:06CONNCONNECTICUT rush for a touchdown.3–27
- Q2 0:09CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–21
- Q2 0:09CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–20
- Q2 4:13CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–14
- Q2 4:13CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–14
- Q2 13:10CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–7
- Q2 13:10CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–7
- Q1 5:34MEMMEMPHIS 43 yard field goal GOOD.3–0
How the model called it
- PassPaxton Lynch 18/37, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushBrandon Hayes 11 CAR, 33 YDS
- RecKeiwone Malone 6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
- PassCasey Cochran 36/54, 461 YDS, 4 TD
- RushMartin Hyppolite 7 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
- RecGeremy Davis 15 REC, 207 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsCONN up 28 entering the 4th quarter. Across 465 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 13:10CONN +20%
Casey Cochran pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 18 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 15:00CONN +18%
Casey Cochran pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 13 yards to the Memph 19, tackled by Lonnie Ballentine for a 1ST down
- Q2 0:09CONN +10%
Casey Cochran pass complete to Lyle McCombs for 11 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 5:34MEM +9%
Jake Elliott 43 yard field goal GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Memphis vs. UConn?
Memphis 10, UConn 45.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (CONN) was correct.
| MEM | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 257 | Total yards | 538 |
| 185 | Passing yards | 463 |
| 72 | Rushing yards | 75 |
| 14 | First downs | 31 |
| 7-17 | 3rd down | 8-17 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 20/40 | Comp/Att | 37/55 |
| 4.6 | Yards per pass | 8.4 |
| 2.5 | Yards per rush | 2.9 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-40 | Penalties | 2-16 |
| 26:41 | Possession | 33:19 |
Costliest call
Q2 13:10 MEM punt on 4th & 1 at MEM 47. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.40 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 9:47CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.10–45
- Q4 9:47CONNCONNECTICUT rush for a touchdown.10–45
- Q3 1:12CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.10–38
- Q3 1:12CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.10–37
- Q3 4:58MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.10–31
- Q3 4:58MEMMEMPHIS pass complete for a touchdown.9–31
- Q3 7:20CONNCONNECTICUT 46 yard field goal GOOD.3–31
- Q3 9:06CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–28
- Q3 9:06CONNCONNECTICUT rush for a touchdown.3–27
- Q2 0:09CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–21
- Q2 0:09CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–20
- Q2 4:13CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–14
- Q2 4:13CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–14
- Q2 13:10CONNCONNECTICUT Extra point GOOD.3–7
- Q2 13:10CONNCONNECTICUT pass complete for a touchdown.3–7
- Q1 5:34MEMMEMPHIS 43 yard field goal GOOD.3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (CONN Elo 1285, MEM Elo 1348 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects CONN +0.1 (51% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#11 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #92 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →