Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
LTTeam statsKENN
- Q4 4:45KENNColeman Bennett 50 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–35
- Q4 13:32KENNLyndon Ravare 7 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–28
- Q3 9:19KENNJordan Jackson 29 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–21
- Q2 6:15KENNGabriel Benyard 9 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)7–14
- Q2 8:03KENNClayton Coppock 6 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–7
- Q1 7:12LTOmiri Wiggins 1 Yd Run (Drew Henderson Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassEvan Bullock 11/21, 112 YDS, 1 INT
- RushOmiri Wiggins 14 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
- RecMarlion Jackson 3 REC, 49 YDS
- PassDexter Williams II 27/36, 290 YDS, 4 TD
- RushColeman Bennett 17 CAR, 73 YDS
- RecChristian Moss 4 REC, 66 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsKENN up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 6:15KENN +26%
Gabriel Benyard run for 9 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
- Q3 9:19KENN +20%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Jordan Jackson for 29 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
- Q2 7:47KENN +16%
Clay Thevenin run for 4 yds to the LT 29
- Q1 7:12LT +14%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK)
- Q1 6:50LT +10%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the KENN 7
- Q2 1:52KENN +7%
Joshua Huiet punt for 61 yds for a touchback
FAQ
What was the final score of Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State?
Louisiana Tech 7, Kennesaw State 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked LT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| LT | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 305 | Total yards | 400 |
| 169 | Passing yards | 290 |
| 136 | Rushing yards | 110 |
| 21 | First downs | 21 |
| 8-17 | 3rd down | 9-14 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 18/35 | Comp/Att | 27/36 |
| 4.8 | Yards per pass | 8.1 |
| 3.4 | Yards per rush | 4.1 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 6-57 | Penalties | 7-52 |
| 29:09 | Possession | 30:51 |
Costliest call
Q4 11:50 LT punt on 4th & 2 at LT 20. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.31 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 4:45KENNColeman Bennett 50 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–35
- Q4 13:32KENNLyndon Ravare 7 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–28
- Q3 9:19KENNJordan Jackson 29 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–21
- Q2 6:15KENNGabriel Benyard 9 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)7–14
- Q2 8:03KENNClayton Coppock 6 Yd pass from Dexter Williams II (Britton Williams Kick)7–7
- Q1 7:12LTOmiri Wiggins 1 Yd Run (Drew Henderson Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (KENN Elo 1223, LT Elo 1490 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects KENN +8.3 (30% to win) — 3.3 points clear of LT's market line of +5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#14 of 112 in 2025 by biggest miss · #79 of 129 in 2025 by longest odds.
The 2025 upset archive →| LT | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2 (#70) | CORE overall | -3.9 (#76) |
| -6 / -4 | offense / defense | +2 / +6 |
| 2.08 | points / drive | 2.14 |
| 1.61 | allowed / drive | 2.02 |
| 31% | three-and-outs | 28% |
| -9 | pass over expected | -2 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →