South Florida vs. Syracuse: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
USFTeam statsSYR
- Q4 13:26USFNay'Quan Wright 2 Yd Run (John Cannon Kick)45–0
- Q3 12:52USFSean Atkins 35 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)38–0
- Q2 0:09USFTramel Logan 61 Yd Fumble Return (John Cannon Kick)31–0
- Q2 2:40USFJohn Cannon 40 Yd Field Goal 24–0
- Q2 11:54USFKhafre Brown 31 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)21–0
- Q1 2:22USFAamaris Brown 64 Yd Fumble Return (John Cannon Kick)14–0
- Q1 7:49USFSean Atkins 13 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassByrum Brown 19/26, 214 YDS, 3 TD
- RushByrum Brown 14 CAR, 64 YDS
- RecSean Atkins 6 REC, 93 YDS, 2 TD
- PassBraden Davis 6/13, 84 YDS
- RushDan Villari 11 CAR, 37 YDS
- RecDamien Alford 4 REC, 83 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of South Florida vs. Syracuse?
South Florida 45, Syracuse 0.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked SYR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| USF | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 407 | Total yards | 159 |
| 246 | Passing yards | 139 |
| 161 | Rushing yards | 20 |
| 21 | First downs | 9 |
| 5-15 | 3rd down | 1-17 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 1-3 |
| 22/31 | Comp/Att | 10/24 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 5.8 |
| 3.7 | Yards per rush | 0.5 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 9-84 | Penalties | 7-50 |
| 29:54 | Possession | 30:06 |
- Q4 13:26USFNay'Quan Wright 2 Yd Run (John Cannon Kick)45–0
- Q3 12:52USFSean Atkins 35 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)38–0
- Q2 0:09USFTramel Logan 61 Yd Fumble Return (John Cannon Kick)31–0
- Q2 2:40USFJohn Cannon 40 Yd Field Goal 24–0
- Q2 11:54USFKhafre Brown 31 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)21–0
- Q1 2:22USFAamaris Brown 64 Yd Fumble Return (John Cannon Kick)14–0
- Q1 7:49USFSean Atkins 13 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (John Cannon Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (SYR Elo 1399, USF Elo 1260 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects SYR -5.6 (66% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2023
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#2 of 117 in 2023 by biggest miss · #77 of 127 in 2023 by longest odds.
The 2023 upset archive →South Florida leads 9–2 · South Florida has won 3 straight · 18% have been one-possession games
| USF | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| -7.8 (#94) | CORE overall | -4.1 (#83) |
| -1 / +6 | offense / defense | -5 / -1 |
| 2.13 | points / drive | 1.77 |
| 2.46 | allowed / drive | 2.25 |
| 24% | three-and-outs | 35% |
| -3 | pass over expected | -7 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →