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Lafayette

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Patriot · 12-20 · AdjEM -10.2, 277 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.2277 of 364
AdjO
96.3319 of 364
AdjD
106.6208 of 364
AdjT
68.8226 of 364

Lafayette went from -10.0 (#284) on 2024-11-03 to -10.2 (#277) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -7.3 (#242) on 2024-12-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.2%210
TOV%
15.8%169
OREB%
22.4%320
FTA/FGA
30.5%253
Opp eFG%
50.4%151
Opp TOV%
15.5%217
DREB%
74.4%79
Opp FTA/FGA
26.9%37

Résumé12-20 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-8.5336 of 364
Non-conference
-5.8339 of 364
Luck
-9.2%338 of 364
Wins above bubble
-17.4319 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
1-6
Quad 4
11-12

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Caleb WilliamsG3327.911.03.72.346.2%49.4%24.8%33.9%72.3%
Andrew PhillipsG3326.59.54.81.056.0%57.7%19.1%43.1%73.3%
Alex ChaikinG3226.513.92.61.164.0%67.5%23.8%47.9%84.0%
Justin Vander BaanC2829.812.77.03.151.8%54.7%24.3%20.0%66.7%
Mark ButlerG2729.77.33.23.043.8%52.5%14.7%11.1%78.4%
Ryan PettitG3220.04.22.91.543.1%44.7%15.3%23.7%60.0%
Luka SavicevicG3018.13.81.62.044.3%45.4%14.9%28.4%54.5%
Misha BednostinC2812.02.63.10.655.9%50.2%15.6%0.0%25.8%
Malik RasulF2610.73.81.90.648.4%48.7%22.5%22.2%50.0%
TJ BergerG267.71.71.20.336.0%37.1%18.6%16.1%60.0%
Devin HinesG822.39.94.31.446.0%46.7%29.6%25.7%50.0%
Joshua WycheG915.22.92.81.142.0%43.0%13.9%33.3%45.5%
Folabomi FayemiG114.11.10.90.155.0%54.8%16.8%33.3%50.0%
Chris RubayoF410.32.52.81.035.7%50.8%19.6%50.0%83.3%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Lafayette, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@VillanovaQ1#38L 63-75-21.7
11-09@La SalleQ3#224L 60-81-7.3
11-12vsPennsylvaniaQ4#287W 65-63+2.0
11-16@CornellQ2#104L 71-81-14.9
11-20@Rhode IslandQ3#146L 72-86-10.6
11-29vsLong Island UniversityQ4#295W 75-56+7.9
11-30vsNiagaraQ4#318W 59-47+6.3
12-01vsBinghamtonQ4#300L 81-82+6.8
12-07@MercyhurstQ4#330W 77-73+1.4
12-18@George WashingtonQ3#147L 62-82-8.1
12-21@PortlandQ4#286L 64-74+1.3
12-29vsStonehillQ4#327L 65-70+6.2
01-02vsBoston UniversityQ4#294W 60-46+1.3
01-05@NavyQ4#270L 70-71-1.7
01-08@BucknellQ3#201L 62-65-5.9
01-11vsHoly CrossQ4#320W 82-65+6.6
01-15@ArmyQ4#319L 68-70+0.4
01-18vsColgateQ4#223L 67-90-0.1
01-22@Loyola MarylandQ4#313W 80-59-1.5
01-25@LehighQ4#275L 47-86-1.9
01-29vsAmerican UniversityQ4#236L 68-75-0.2
02-01@ColgateQ3#223W 76-61-9.3
02-05vsLoyola MarylandQ4#313L 58-71+6.0
02-08vsNavyQ4#270W 61-51+2.5
02-10@American UniversityQ3#236L 58-60-5.6
02-15vsBucknellQ4#201L 69-75-0.3
02-19@Holy CrossQ4#320L 69-74-0.1
02-22vsLehighQ4#275W 78-70+2.7
02-25vsArmyQ4#319W 81-65+4.5
03-01@Boston UniversityQ4#294L 64-66-1.7
03-04vsHoly CrossQ4#320W 69-68+6.6
03-06@American UniversityQ3#236L 69-71-5.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.