#6Trinidad Chambliss

QB·Ole Miss·20257.8 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Trinidad Chambliss is a Dual-Threat QB for Ole Miss. Trinidad's 2025 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 558 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trinidad Chambliss's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

294/445 Comp/Att3937 Pass yards22 Pass TD3 INT66.1% Comp %

Rushing

527 Rush yards8 Rush TD133 Carries4.0 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

Attempts

5.9y

Avg depth

6.1y

After catch

56%

Catch rate

The ball travels 5.9 yards in the air on an average throw — 1.9 yards shorter than the median. Another 6.1 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards

deep

0% · 0y

100% · 31y

0% · 0y

short

67% · 59y

100% · 37y

50% · 50y

leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency57
Volume100
Dual-Threat71
Consistency80
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs The Citadel.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Trace McSorley	Penn State	2017	626	0.513	12.7	321.0
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsGeorgia State	W63-7	-24.5	4/6	59	1	0	72.3	8	0	0.40
2	@Kentucky	W30-23	1.8	—	—	—	—	—	13	0	-0.30
3	vsArkansas	W41-35	5.1	21/29	353	1	0	89.5	62	2	0.59
4	vsTulane	W45-10	6.3	17/27	307	2	0	90.1	112	0	0.55
5	vsLSU	W24-19	10.3	23/39	314	1	1	86.9	71	0	0.45
7	vsWashington State	W24-21	3.8	20/29	253	2	0	60.6	15	1	0.21
8	@Georgia	L35-43	24.1	19/36	263	1	0	88.4	42	2	0.49
9	@Oklahoma	W34-26	18.3	24/44	315	1	0	90.7	53	0	0.37
10	vsSouth Carolina	W30-14	5.9	12/21	159	1	1	70.7	59	1	0.19
11	vsThe Citadel	W49-0	—	29/33	333	3	0	78.0	-1	0	0.60
12	vsFlorida	W34-24	3.5	26/35	301	1	1	72.9	10	0	0.23
14	@Mississippi State	W38-19	4.1	23/34	359	4	0	93.4	26	0	0.56
20	vsGeorgia	W39-34	24.1	30/46	362	2	0	90.6	14	0	—
20	vsMiami	L27-31	20.7	23/37	277	1	0	83.6	7	0	—
20	vsTulane	W41-10	6.3	23/29	282	1	0	93.3	36	2	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

52.4%

Passing plays

85.4%

Rushing plays

21.6%

Standard downs

46.4%

Passing downs

68.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.24
Passing downs: 0.68
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.43 / 0.26

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 15 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.