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Toa Faavae

Toa Faavae

Toa Faavae is a Dual-Threat QB for New Mexico.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Toa Faavae's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Passing
7/17 Comp/Att134 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT41.2% Comp %
Rushing
57 Rush yards1 Rush TD11 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

18
Attempts
14.4y
Avg depth
7.1y
After catch
39%
Catch rate

The ball travels 14.4 yards in the air on an average throw 5.9 yards deeper than the median. Another 7.1 comes after the catch.

Where he throws

attempts · completion rate · yards
deep
4
50% · 85y
1
0% · 0y
0
short
5
40% · 27y
2
50% · 5y
6
33% · 17y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume54
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency50
  • Clutch28
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.1100.11Wk 1 vs Central Michigan: -0.06 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Mercyhurst: +0.11 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsCentral MichiganW38-7-20.04/8430060.2450-0.06
2vsMercyhurstW70-73/9911035.41210.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
18.8%
Passing plays
41.3%
Rushing plays
8.5%
Standard downs
16.5%
Passing downs
25.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.13
Passing downs
0.07
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.04 / 0.43

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.