#18Tate Rodemaker

QB·Southern Miss·2024

Tate Rodemaker is a Clutch Passer for Southern Miss. Tate's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 176 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tate Rodemaker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

98/165 Comp/Att985 Pass yards7 Pass TD7 INT59.4% Comp %

Rushing

-90 Rush yards0 Rush TD26 Carries-3.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency16
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency16th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 1.52 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs South Florida (SP+ -2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Kentucky	L0-31	5.5	13/19	126	0	2	23.7	-15	0	-0.15
2	vsSE Louisiana	W35-10	—	18/33	179	2	0	32.7	-4	0	0.27
3	vsSouth Florida	L24-49	-2.3	10/15	120	2	0	86.4	—	—	0.60
4	@Jacksonville State	L7-44	-1.0	3/5	15	0	2	2.6	4	0	-0.28
6	vsLouisiana	L13-23	4.8	15/21	140	0	0	5.2	-34	0	0.02
9	@James Madison	L15-32	7.5	—	—	—	—	—	-5	0	-5.10
12	@Texas State	L3-58	5.4	6/15	63	0	1	23.7	3	0	-0.24
13	vsSouth Alabama	L14-35	2.8	15/27	108	1	0	28.9	-12	0	-0.17
14	@Troy	L20-52	-6.6	18/30	234	2	2	24.0	-27	0	-0.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

35.3%

Passing plays

63.4%

Rushing plays

5.5%

Standard downs

28.4%

Passing downs

45.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.23
Passing downs: 0.27
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.06 / -0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).