#22Scottre Humphrey

RB·New Mexico·2025

Scottre Humphrey is a Explosive Back for New Mexico. Scottre's 2025 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 84 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Scottre Humphrey's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

349 Rush yards5 Rush TD77 Carries4.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

3 Receptions22 Rec yards1 Rec TD7.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency57
Volume38
Explosiveness30
Consistency21
Receiving28

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency21th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.31 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs UCLA (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Michigan	L17-34	12.4	10	33	3.3	0	1	8	0	-0.23
2	vsIdaho State	W32-22	—	18	141	7.8	2	—	—	—	0.34
3	@UCLA	W35-10	-8.7	6	48	8.0	1	—	—	—	0.66
5	vsNew Mexico State	W38-20	-15.5	13	41	3.2	0	1	8	1	0.14
6	@San José State	L28-35	-14.3	6	10	1.7	1	—	—	—	0.51
7	@Boise State	L25-41	3.1	3	8	2.7	0	1	6	0	0.14
8	vsNevada	W24-22	-13.4	13	58	4.5	1	—	—	—	0.50
9	vsUtah State	W33-14	-3.1	5	7	1.4	0	—	—	—	-0.22
10	@UNLV	W40-35	4.3	1	1	1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.24
12	vsColorado State	W20-17	-15.6	2	2	1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.2%

Passing plays

2.0%

Rushing plays

23.5%

Standard downs

14.9%

Passing downs

8.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.28
Passing downs: -0.07
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.43 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).