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PJ Martin

#0PJ Martin

PJ Martin is a Committee Back for South Alabama. PJ's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 67 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So PJ Martin's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
326 Rush yards2 Rush TD60 Carries5.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions49 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume34
  • Explosiveness48
  • Consistency21
  • Receiving50
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency21th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Tulane (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5500.55Wk 1 vs Morgan State: +0.44 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tulane: +0.55 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Auburn: -0.19 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Coastal Carolina: -0.26 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs North Texas: +0.42 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Troy: +0.23 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Arkansas State: +0.15 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Georgia State: -0.35 EPA/play9
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsMorgan StateW38-218405.010.44
2vsTulaneL31-336.33186.000.55
3@AuburnL15-3111.611302.70-0.19
4vsCoastal CarolinaL20-38-15.19697.70130-0.26
5@North TexasL22-3613.810606.0034200.42
6@TroyL24-31-4.89515.700.23
8vsArkansas StateL14-15-8.87547.711400.15
9@Georgia StateW38-31-24.5341.30-0.35

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.0%
Passing plays
3.3%
Rushing plays
17.5%
Standard downs
14.1%
Passing downs
7.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.36 / 0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.