#21NaQuari Rogers

RB·Utah·2025

NaQuari Rogers is a Explosive Back for Utah. NaQuari's 2025 season ranks in the 78th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 86 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So NaQuari Rogers's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

387 Rush yards11 Rush TD98 Carries3.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

3 Receptions43 Rec yards0 Rec TD14.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency78
Volume32
Explosiveness18
Consistency57
Receiving18

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)78th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency57th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (78th percentile).
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.25 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.04 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Cal Poly.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@UCLA	W43-10	-8.7	16	61	3.8	1	1	6	0	0.14
2	vsCal Poly	W63-9	—	7	31	4.4	2	1	32	0	1.04
3	@Wyoming	W31-6	-11.3	13	60	4.6	1	—	—	—	0.58
4	vsTexas Tech	L10-34	27.6	10	37	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.01
5	@West Virginia	W48-14	-6.8	13	61	4.7	0	1	5	0	0.07
7	vsArizona State	W42-10	3.9	12	48	4.0	2	—	—	—	0.19
8	@BYU	L21-24	15.9	1	2	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.14
9	vsColorado	W53-7	-8.3	8	25	3.1	1	—	—	—	0.20
10	vsCincinnati	W45-14	4.5	8	20	2.5	1	—	—	—	0.29
12	@Baylor	W55-28	1.4	6	27	4.5	2	—	—	—	0.06
13	vsKansas State	W51-47	7.0	1	4	4.0	0	—	—	—	-0.02
20	vsNebraska	W44-22	6.2	3	11	3.7	1	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

11.3%

Passing plays

1.1%

Rushing plays

18.5%

Standard downs

14.7%

Passing downs

1.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.70
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.18 / 0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).