#10Kedon Slovis

QB·USC·2020 201910.5 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Kedon Slovis is a 2-year Clutch Passer for USC. Kedon's 2020 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 267 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kedon Slovis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2019

★★★★★

3-Star · Developmental

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.8726
National rank: #689
High school: Desert Mountain
Hometown: Scottsdale, AZ

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2020 Production

Passing

177/262 Comp/Att1921 Pass yards17 Pass TD7 INT67.6% Comp %

Rushing

-57 Rush yards0 Rush TD23 Carries-2.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs QB peers

Efficiency55
Volume100
Dual-Threat36
Consistency90
Clutch92

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)55th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency90th %ile · elite

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.13 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Washington State (SP+ 4).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	EPA/play
10	vsArizona State	W28-27	11.4	40/55	381	2	1	21	0.28
11	@Arizona	W34-30	-3.5	30/43	325	1	0	1	0.37
12	@Utah	W33-17	11.9	24/35	264	2	1	-21	0.22
14	vsWashington State	W38-13	4.2	25/32	287	5	0	-20	0.60
15	@UCLA	W43-38	-1.1	30/47	344	5	2	-11	0.33
16	vsOregon	L24-31	18.1	28/50	320	2	3	-27	0.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

63.6%

Passing plays

99.6%

Rushing plays

6.9%

Standard downs

56.6%

Passing downs

79.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.39 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2020 · 18 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	USC	10.8	0.590	—	260.2
2020	USC	10.5	0.500	-0.09	145.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.