#28Kamari Moulton

RB·Iowa·2025

Kamari Moulton is a Featured Back for Iowa. Kamari's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 184 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kamari Moulton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

878 Rush yards5 Rush TD170 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

16 Receptions97 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume82
Explosiveness44
Consistency51
Receiving60

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency51th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.64 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UAlbany.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUAlbany	W34-7	—	3	22	7.3	0	—	—	—	0.64
4	@Rutgers	W38-28	1.0	14	68	4.9	1	3	21	0	0.27
5	vsIndiana	L15-20	32.4	18	75	4.2	0	3	21	0	-0.20
7	@Wisconsin	W37-0	-4.4	15	96	6.4	1	3	29	0	0.49
8	vsPenn State	W25-24	18.1	17	99	5.8	0	2	10	0	0.06
9	vsMinnesota	W41-3	1.5	15	75	5.0	0	—	—	—	0.05
11	vsOregon	L16-18	25.9	23	87	3.8	0	1	-1	0	-0.09
12	@USC	L21-26	16.9	15	90	6.0	0	1	1	0	0.08
13	vsMichigan State	W20-17	-3.4	18	78	4.3	0	2	14	0	0.03
14	@Nebraska	W40-16	6.2	18	93	5.2	2	—	—	—	0.15
20	vsVanderbilt	W34-27	20.3	14	95	6.8	1	1	2	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

28.8%

Passing plays

9.5%

Rushing plays

41.4%

Standard downs

32.6%

Passing downs

18.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.24
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.03 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).